probability

According to reports, according to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 8.8%, and the probabil

According to reports, according to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 18.4%, and the probabi

According to reports, according to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 33.2%, and the probabi

According to reports, the Federal Reserve\’s interest rate swap shows that after the release of employment data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in May

On March 22, according to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March to the range of 4.75% to 5.00% is temporarily reported at 87.8%, with a probability of remaining unchanged of 12.2%, and a probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points being 0. Interpretation of this information: The message implies that there is a high probability of the Federal Reserve increasing the interest rates by 25 basis points in March. CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation” states that…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 34.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% to 5.00% is 65.7%; The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged by May is 26.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points is 58.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 15.8%. Interpretation of this information: The message is about the possible…

It is reported that the current pricing of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap will peak in March, leaving only 10 basis points left on the current interest rate increase bet. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in March is less than 50%. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve is known for its interest rate swaps. The current pricing of these swaps is expected to reach its peak in March, which means there will only be a mere…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 32.1%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 67.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% has dropped to 0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points by May is 55.2%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points to…

It is reported that according to the CME Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 96.0%; The probability of raising interest rate by 50 basis points dropped to 0, while the probability observed last time (March 8) was 73.5%. Interpretation of this information: The message is reporting on the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points in March. The CME Federal Reserve has reported that…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve swap shows that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March will fall below 50%. Interpretation of this information: The Federal Reserve swap is a prediction market where traders can bet on the future actions of the Federal Reserve, particularly with regard to interest rates. Recently, it has been reported that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March has fallen below 50%. This news may have implications for the economy as a…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% in March is 73.0%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% is 27.0%; By May, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points is 0%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 70.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is 79% (81.9% yesterday), and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.00% – 5.25% is 21.0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points by May is 8.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 72.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points to…